Chester Taylor
RB, Toledo · 2002 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #207 (BAL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 151 of ~160 possible regular-season games from 2002 through 2011 (~94%). Last NFL season: 2011.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Toledo: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.58 40-yard dash at 213 lbs: faster than 33% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 151 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 41 |
| Passing | 1/2, 4 yds, 1 TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 1160 att, 4,740 yds, 26 TD |
| Receiving | 299 rec, 2,324 yds, 6 TD |
| Defense | 24 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2011 |
The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 213 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.58 s |
| Bench press | 22 reps |
| Vertical | 33" |
| Broad jump | 114" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2002 redraft
| 204 | Brian Allen | redraft #215 |
| 205 | Steve Bellisari | redraft #242 |
| 206 | Javin Hunter | redraft #208 |
| 208 | DeVeren Johnson | redraft #243 |
| 209 | Chad Williams | redraft #120 |
| 210 | Bryan Fletcher | redraft #128 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.