Chase Edmonds
RB, Fordham · 2018 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #134 (ARI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Fordham: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.55 40-yard dash at 205 lbs: faster than 45% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 86 of ~133 possible regular-season games from 2018 through 2025 (~65%).
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 86 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 21 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 21.0 |
| Rushing | 450 att, 1,972 yds, 11 TD |
| Receiving | 158 rec, 1,159 yds, 6 TD |
| Defense | 16 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2025 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2018 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2018 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 9", 205 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.55 s |
| Bench press | 19 reps |
| Vertical | 34" |
| Broad jump | 122" |
| 3-cone | 6.79 s |
| Shuttle | 4.07 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2018 redraft
| 131 | Kalen Ballage | redraft #168 |
| 132 | Jaleel Scott | redraft #234 |
| 133 | J'Mon Moore | redraft #229 |
| 135 | John Franklin-Myers | redraft #39 |
| 136 | Marquis Haynes | redraft #156 |
| 137 | Dalton Schultz | redraft #60 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.