Carnell Tate
WR, Ohio St. · 2026 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #4 (TEN)
Early read Live board
Too early for a verdict. The live 2026 board blends draft slot with games played so far (6.6 weeks in), so rookies move as production comes in.
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #13 overall (#3 WR) |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| School | Ohio St. (Power conference) |
| Combine | Invited · 4.53 40 |
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 192 lbs |
Pre-draft data: ESPN draft profile, nflverse draft & combine data. Fields we couldn't source are left out.
Pre-draft signals All patterns
How players with the same pre-draft traits have done against their draft slot, 2000–2021 NFL classes. 50% = a typical pick.
| Age at draft 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Draft slot vs. ESPN pre-draft rank Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 |
Estimate: 47% chance he beats his draft slot (typical pick: 50%). From a simple logistic model on age, school tier and position only; it ranks past picks only modestly better than a coin flip (AUC 0.60), so treat it as a lean, not a forecast. Method
2026 class right now: pick vs. live board
Board updated Oct 26, 2026, 10:04 PM MDT.
Picked around him 2026 redraft
| 1 | Fernando Mendoza | now #42 |
| 2 | David Bailey | now #1 |
| 3 | Jeremiyah Love | now #20 |
| 5 | Arvell Reese | now #2 |
| 6 | Mansoor Delane | now #9 |
| 7 | Sonny Styles | now #3 |
How this page works: methodology · Patterns behind the signals: What the drafts missed