Byron Murphy
CB, Washington · 2019 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #33 (ARI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 103 of ~117 possible regular-season games from 2019 through 2025 (~88%). Plus 6 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #27 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#33).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Washington: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.55 40-yard dash at 190 lbs: faster than 24% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
CB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 109 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 6 |
| Pro Bowls | 1 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 40 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 2.4 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 42.4 |
| Defense | 352 tackles, 3 sacks, 19 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2019 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2019 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 190 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.55 s |
| Bench press | 14 reps |
| Vertical | 36.5" |
| Broad jump | 120" |
| Arm / hand | 30.38" / 8.88" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #27 overall (#1 CB) |
Picked around him 2019 redraft
| 30 | Deandre Baker | redraft #144 |
| 31 | Kaleb McGary | redraft #35 |
| 32 | N'Keal Harry | redraft #138 |
| 34 | Rock Ya-Sin | redraft #88 |
| 35 | Jawaan Taylor | redraft #24 |
| 36 | Deebo Samuel | redraft #13 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.