Braxton Berrios
WR, Miami (FL) · 2018 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #210 (NWE)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #220 (#26 at his position), close to where he went (#210). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Miami (FL): a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Combine
Invited to the Combine but no 40 time on record (skipped or injured).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (4,704 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 91 of ~133 possible regular-season games from 2018 through 2025 (~68%). Plus 4 games so far in 2026.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 95 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 1 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 11 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.2 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 11.2 |
| Passing | 1/1, 2 yds, 1 TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 20 att, 171 yds, 4 TD |
| Receiving | 140 rec, 1,360 yds, 6 TD |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2018 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2018 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Combine Invited to the Combine | 50.6% n=4,704 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 9", 184 lbs |
| Bench press | 11 reps |
| Arm / hand | 28" / 9.25" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #220 overall (#26 WR) |
Picked around him 2018 redraft
| 207 | Equanimeous St. Brown | redraft #154 |
| 208 | Cedrick Wilson Jr. | redraft #139 |
| 209 | Cornell Armstrong | redraft #195 |
| 211 | Jordan Thomas | redraft #201 |
| 212 | Greg Senat | redraft #224 |
| 213 | Colby Gossett | redraft #187 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.