Braden Mann
P, Texas A&M · 2020 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #191 (NYJ)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
P (ST group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68% of the time (97 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 92 of ~101 possible regular-season games from 2020 through 2025 (~91%). Plus 6 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #170 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#191). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Texas A&M: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.83 40-yard dash at 198 lbs: faster than 60% of STs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 98 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 13 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.1 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 13.1 |
| Passing | 2/3, 45 yds, undefined TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 2 att, -30 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 4 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2020 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2020 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Position ST | 68.0% n=97 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 198 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.83 s |
| Vertical | 31" |
| Broad jump | 111" |
| 3-cone | 7.03 s |
| Shuttle | 4.13 s |
| Arm / hand | 30.25" / 9.25" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #170 overall (#1 P) |
Picked around him 2020 redraft
| 188 | Tyler Bass | redraft #100 |
| 189 | Jake Luton | redraft #200 |
| 190 | Charlie Woerner | redraft #203 |
| 192 | Jon Runyan Jr. | redraft #20 |
| 193 | Robert Windsor | redraft #241 |
| 194 | Khalil Davis | redraft #189 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.