Antoine Bethea
DB, Howard · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #207 (IND)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 209 of ~224 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2019 (~93%). Last NFL season: 2019.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Howard: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.39 40-yard dash at 203 lbs: faster than 85% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 209 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 12 |
| Pro Bowls | 3 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 63 |
| Defense | 995 tackles, 9.5 sacks, 25 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2019 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 203 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.39 s |
| Bench press | 19 reps |
| Vertical | 36.5" |
| Broad jump | 127" |
| 3-cone | 6.99 s |
| Shuttle | 4.11 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 204 | LaJuan Ramsey | redraft #166 |
| 205 | Dan Stevenson | redraft #243 |
| 206 | Le Kevin Smith | redraft #158 |
| 208 | Derrick Martin | redraft #159 |
| 209 | Ethan Kilmer | redraft #205 |
| 210 | Zach Strief | redraft #32 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.