Allen Robinson
WR, Penn St. · 2014 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #61 (JAX)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #62 (#11 at his position), close to where he went (#61). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Penn St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.60 40-yard dash at 220 lbs: faster than 8% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 139 of ~180 possible regular-season games from 2014 through 2024 (~77%). Last NFL season: 2024.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 139 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 8 |
| Pro Bowls | 1 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 48 |
| Rushing | 3 att, 10 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 565 rec, 7,058 yds, 43 TD |
| Defense | 2 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2024 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 220 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.60 s |
| Vertical | 39" |
| Broad jump | 127" |
| 3-cone | 7 s |
| Shuttle | 4 s |
| Arm / hand | 32" / 9.4" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #62 overall (#11 WR) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 58 | Stanley Jean-Baptiste | redraft #218 |
| 59 | Jack Mewhort | redraft #74 |
| 60 | Kony Ealy | redraft #108 |
| 62 | Jimmy Garoppolo | redraft #28 |
| 63 | Jarvis Landry | redraft #19 |
| 64 | Justin Britt | redraft #32 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.