Zhou Qi
PF · 2016 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #43 (HOU)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: path to the draft, availability. Details below.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Henan, China.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 19 games over 2 NBA seasons (~12% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #47 (#16 at his position), close to where he went (#43).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.4 years old on draft night (born 1996-01-16).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 8" at 7' 2" tall (+6.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 19 |
| Minutes / game | 6.6 |
| Points / game | 1.3 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.2 |
| Assists / game | 0.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.2 |
| VORP | -0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -9.6 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2016 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2016 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 2", 218 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 8" |
| Age on draft night | 20.4 |
| Born | Henan, China |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #47 overall (#16 PF) |
Picked around him 2016 redraft
| 40 | Diamond Stone | redraft #50 |
| 41 | Stephen Zimmerman | redraft #45 |
| 42 | Isaiah Whitehead | redraft #55 |
| 44 | Isaïa Cordinier | redraft #58 |
| 45 | Demetrius Jackson | redraft #37 |
| 46 | A.J. Hammons | redraft #44 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.