Vlatko Čančar
SF · 2017 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #49 (DEN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #103 (#24 at his position); he went #49, 54 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.2 years old on draft night (born 1997-04-10).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 143 games over 5 NBA seasons (~35% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 5 |
| Games | 143 |
| Minutes / game | 10.7 |
| Points / game | 3.4 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.8 |
| Assists / game | 0.9 |
| Win Shares (career) | 2.4 |
| VORP | -0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.5 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2017 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2017 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 8", 200 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.2 |
| Born | 1997-04-10 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #103 overall (#24 SF) |
Picked around him 2017 redraft
| 46 | Sterling Brown | redraft #24 |
| 47 | Ike Anigbogu | redraft #53 |
| 48 | Sindarius Thornwell | redraft #43 |
| 50 | Mathias Lessort | redraft #58 |
| 51 | Monte Morris | redraft #13 |
| 52 | Edmond Sumner | redraft #30 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.