Tristen Newton
PG, UConn · 2024 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #49 (IND)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
The 2024 class is only 2 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #66 (#34 at his position); he went #49, 17 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 9 games over 2 NBA seasons (~5% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
23.2 years old on draft night (born 2001-04-26).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at UConn.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 9 |
| Minutes / game | 3.1 |
| Points / game | 1.7 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.8 |
| Assists / game | 0.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.0 |
| VORP | 0.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -8.2 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2024 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2024 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3.25", 192 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 23.2 |
| Born | 2001-04-26 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #66 overall (#34 PG) |
Picked around him 2024 redraft
| 46 | Cam Christie | redraft #41 |
| 47 | Antonio Reeves | redraft #37 |
| 48 | Harrison Ingram | redraft #44 |
| 50 | Enrique Freeman | redraft #40 |
| 51 | Melvin Ajinça | redraft #58 |
| 52 | Quinten Post | redraft #18 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.