Trayce Jackson-Davis
PF, Indiana · 2023 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #57 (WAS)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
The 2023 class is only 3 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #38 overall (#8 at his position), but he lasted until pick #57: teams let him slide 19 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23.3 years old on draft night (born 2000-02-22).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Indiana.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 188 games over 4 NBA seasons (~57% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 4 |
| Games | 188 |
| Minutes / game | 14.1 |
| Points / game | 6.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 4.3 |
| Assists / game | 1.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 9.8 |
| VORP | 2.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 1.6 |
| 2026-27 so far | 3 GP, 4 PPG (ESPN) |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2023 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2023 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 245 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 23.3 |
| Born | 2000-02-22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #38 overall (#8 PF) |
Picked around him 2023 redraft
| 54 | Jalen Slawson | redraft #40 |
| 55 | Isaiah Wong | redraft #46 |
| 56 | Tarik Biberovic | redraft #58 |
| 58 | Chris Livingston | redraft #45 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.