Slavko Vraneš
C · 2003 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #39 (NYK)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #49 (#4 at his position); he went #39, 10 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 1 games over 1 NBA season (~1% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
20.4 years old on draft night (born 1983-01-30).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 1 |
| Minutes / game | 3.0 |
| Points / game | 0.0 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.0 |
| Assists / game | 0.0 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.0 |
| VORP | 0.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -26.2 |
The 2003 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2003 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 4", 279 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.4 |
| Born | 1983-01-30 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #49 overall (#4 C) |
Picked around him 2003 redraft
| 36 | Mario Austin | redraft #50 |
| 37 | Travis Hansen | redraft #38 |
| 38 | Steve Blake | redraft #16 |
| 40 | Derrick Zimmerman | redraft #46 |
| 41 | Willie Green | redraft #26 |
| 42 | Zaza Pachulia | redraft #9 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.