Robert Woodard II
SF, Mississippi State · 2020 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #40 (MEM)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 25 games over 2 NBA seasons (~15% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #26 overall (#5 at his position), but he lasted until pick #40: teams let him slide 14 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.8 years old on draft night (born 1999-09-22).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Mississippi State.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 25 |
| Minutes / game | 3.5 |
| Points / game | 1.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.1 |
| Assists / game | 0.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.1 |
| VORP | -0.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -7.7 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2020 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2020 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 230 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.8 |
| Born | 1999-09-22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #26 overall (#5 SF) |
Picked around him 2020 redraft
| 37 | Vít Krejčí | redraft #30 |
| 38 | Saben Lee | redraft #32 |
| 39 | Elijah Hughes | redraft #58 |
| 41 | Tre Jones | redraft #11 |
| 42 | Nick Richards | redraft #24 |
| 43 | Jahmi'us Ramsey | redraft #51 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.