Nico Mannion
PG, Arizona · 2020 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #48 (GSW)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 30 games over 1 NBA season (~37% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #25 overall (#8 at his position), but he lasted until pick #48: teams let him slide 23 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.3 years old on draft night (born 2001-03-14).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Arizona.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 30 |
| Minutes / game | 12.1 |
| Points / game | 4.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.5 |
| Assists / game | 2.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.2 |
| VORP | -0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -3.9 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2020 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2020 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 190 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 19.3 |
| Born | 2001-03-14 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #25 overall (#8 PG) |
Picked around him 2020 redraft
| 45 | Jordan Nwora | redraft #33 |
| 46 | CJ Elleby | redraft #39 |
| 47 | Yam Madar | redraft #59 |
| 49 | Isaiah Joe | redraft #13 |
| 50 | Skylar Mays | redraft #35 |
| 51 | Justinian Jessup | redraft #60 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.