Nathan Jawai
PF · 2008 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #41 (IND)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: path to the draft, availability. Details below.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Cairns, Australia.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 45 games over 2 NBA seasons (~27% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #41 (#11 at his position), close to where he went (#41).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.7 years old on draft night (born 1986-10-10).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 45 |
| Minutes / game | 9.6 |
| Points / game | 2.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.4 |
| Assists / game | 0.5 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.2 |
| VORP | -0.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -4.4 |
The 2008 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2008 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 270 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.7 |
| Born | Cairns, Australia |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #41 overall (#11 PF) |
Picked around him 2008 redraft
| 38 | Kyle Weaver | redraft #37 |
| 39 | Sonny Weems | redraft #49 |
| 40 | Chris Douglas-Roberts | redraft #33 |
| 42 | Sean Singletary | redraft #50 |
| 43 | Patrick Ewing | redraft #47 |
| 44 | Ante Tomić | redraft #52 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.