Kyrylo Fesenko
PF · 2007 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #38 (PHI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #34 (#10 at his position), close to where he went (#38).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.5 years old on draft night (born 1986-12-26).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Ukraine.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 135 games over 5 NBA seasons (~33% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 5 |
| Games | 135 |
| Minutes / game | 8.2 |
| Points / game | 2.3 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.0 |
| Assists / game | 0.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.9 |
| VORP | -1.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -5.7 |
The 2007 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2007 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 1", 270 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.5 |
| Born | Ukraine |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #34 overall (#10 PF) |
Picked around him 2007 redraft
| 35 | Glen Davis | redraft #23 |
| 36 | Jermareo Davidson | redraft #47 |
| 37 | Josh McRoberts | redraft #18 |
| 39 | Stanko Barać | redraft #51 |
| 40 | Sun Yue | redraft #44 |
| 41 | Chris Richard | redraft #36 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.