Kirk Hinrich
SG, Kansas · 2003 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #7 (CHI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 879 games over 13 NBA seasons (~82% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #8 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#7).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.5 years old on draft night (born 1981-01-02).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Kansas.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 13 |
| Games | 879 |
| Minutes / game | 30.7 |
| Points / game | 10.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.9 |
| Assists / game | 4.8 |
| Win Shares (career) | 52.5 |
| VORP | 13.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 0.0 |
The 2003 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2003 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 186 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 22.5 |
| Born | 1981-01-02 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #8 overall (#3 SG) |
Picked around him 2003 redraft
| 4 | Chris Bosh | redraft #4 |
| 5 | Dwyane Wade | redraft #2 |
| 6 | Chris Kaman | redraft #20 |
| 8 | T.J. Ford | redraft #22 |
| 9 | Mike Sweetney | redraft #31 |
| 10 | Jarvis Hayes | redraft #29 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.