Kendall Brown
SF, Baylor · 2022 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #48 (MIN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
The 2022 class is only 4 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Availability
Played 21 games over 2 NBA seasons (~13% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #38 overall (#10 at his position), but he lasted until pick #48: teams let him slide 10 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.1 years old on draft night (born 2003-05-11).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Baylor.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 21 |
| Minutes / game | 4.9 |
| Points / game | 1.4 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.5 |
| Assists / game | 0.4 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.1 |
| VORP | -0.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -5.3 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2022 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2022 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 8", 205 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 19.1 |
| Born | 2003-05-11 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #38 overall (#10 SF) |
Picked around him 2022 redraft
| 45 | Josh Minott | redraft #17 |
| 46 | Ismael Kamagate | redraft #55 |
| 47 | Vince Williams Jr. | redraft #28 |
| 49 | Isaiah Mobley | redraft #45 |
| 50 | Matteo Spagnolo | redraft #56 |
| 51 | Tyrese Martin | redraft #38 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.