Jordan McRae
SG, Tennessee · 2014 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #58 (SAS)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #47 overall (#11 at his position), but he lasted until pick #58: teams let him slide 11 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23.2 years old on draft night (born 1991-03-28).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Tennessee.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 1" at 6' 7" tall (+6.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 123 games over 4 NBA seasons (~38% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 4 |
| Games | 123 |
| Minutes / game | 13.8 |
| Points / game | 6.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.8 |
| Assists / game | 1.4 |
| Win Shares (career) | 1.7 |
| VORP | 0.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.1 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 179 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 1" |
| Age on draft night | 23.2 |
| Born | Midway, GA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #47 overall (#11 SG) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 55 | Semaj Christon | redraft #45 |
| 56 | Devyn Marble | redraft #51 |
| 57 | Louis Labeyrie | redraft #59 |
| 59 | Xavier Thames | redraft #60 |
| 60 | Cory Jefferson | redraft #37 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.