Jordan Hawkins
SG, UConn · 2023 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #14 (NOP)
Why he went too high Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a risk: his profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
The 2023 class is only 3 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #16 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#14).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.2 years old on draft night (born 2002-04-29).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at UConn.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 174 games over 3 NBA seasons (~71% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 3 |
| Games | 174 |
| Minutes / game | 18.2 |
| Points / game | 8.0 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.3 |
| Assists / game | 1.0 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.3 |
| VORP | -2.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -4.7 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2023 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2023 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 195 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.2 |
| Born | 2002-04-29 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #16 overall (#4 SG) |
Picked around him 2023 redraft
| 11 | Jett Howard | redraft #38 |
| 12 | Dereck Lively II | redraft #9 |
| 13 | Gradey Dick | redraft #21 |
| 15 | Kobe Bufkin | redraft #52 |
| 16 | Keyonte George | redraft #17 |
| 17 | Jalen Hood-Schifino | redraft #54 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.