Jon Brockman
PF, Washington · 2009 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #38 (POR)
Why he went too high Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a risk: his profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #41 (#10 at his position), close to where he went (#38).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.3 years old on draft night (born 1987-03-20).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Washington.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 150 games over 3 NBA seasons (~61% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 3 |
| Games | 150 |
| Minutes / game | 10.5 |
| Points / game | 2.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.1 |
| Assists / game | 0.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 3.7 |
| VORP | -0.8 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -3.9 |
The 2009 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2009 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 255 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 22.3 |
| Born | Snohomish, WA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #41 overall (#10 PF) |
Picked around him 2009 redraft
| 35 | DaJuan Summers | redraft #46 |
| 36 | Sam Young | redraft #34 |
| 37 | DeJuan Blair | redraft #24 |
| 39 | Jonas Jerebko | redraft #20 |
| 40 | Derrick Brown | redraft #33 |
| 41 | Jodie Meeks | redraft #18 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.