Joe Harris
SG, Virginia · 2014 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #33 (CLE)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: length. Details below.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 6" at 6' 6" tall (+0.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #38 (#8 at his position), close to where he went (#33). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.8 years old on draft night (born 1991-09-07).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Virginia.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 504 games over 10 NBA seasons (~61% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 10 |
| Games | 504 |
| Minutes / game | 24.4 |
| Points / game | 10.3 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.0 |
| Assists / game | 1.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 23.1 |
| VORP | 4.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.7 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Length Under +2 in. | 56.2% n=73 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 215 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 6" |
| Age on draft night | 22.8 |
| Born | Chelan, WA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #38 overall (#8 SG) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 30 | Kyle Anderson | redraft #6 |
| 31 | Damien Inglis | redraft #49 |
| 32 | K.J. McDaniels | redraft #33 |
| 34 | Cleanthony Early | redraft #54 |
| 35 | Jarnell Stokes | redraft #39 |
| 36 | Johnny O'Bryant | redraft #42 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.