Jaden Hardy
SG · 2022 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #37 (SAC)
Why he went too high Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a risk: his profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
The 2022 class is only 4 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #25 overall (#6 at his position), but he lasted until pick #37: teams let him slide 12 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.0 years old on draft night (born 2002-07-05).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 237 games over 5 NBA seasons (~58% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 5 |
| Games | 237 |
| Minutes / game | 14.9 |
| Points / game | 8.4 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.7 |
| Assists / game | 1.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.5 |
| VORP | -1.8 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -4.1 |
| 2026-27 so far | 1 GP, 3 PPG (ESPN) |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2022 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2022 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 190 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.0 |
| Born | 2002-07-05 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #25 overall (#6 SG) |
Picked around him 2022 redraft
| 34 | Jaylin Williams | redraft #9 |
| 35 | Max Christie | redraft #23 |
| 36 | Gabriele Procida | redraft #53 |
| 38 | Kennedy Chandler | redraft #44 |
| 39 | Khalifa Diop | redraft #54 |
| 40 | Bryce McGowens | redraft #33 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.