Ivan Rabb
PF, California · 2017 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #35 (ORL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #34 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#35).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.4 years old on draft night (born 1997-02-04).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at California.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 2" at 6' 10" tall (+4.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 85 games over 2 NBA seasons (~52% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 85 |
| Minutes / game | 14.6 |
| Points / game | 5.7 |
| Rebounds / game | 4.3 |
| Assists / game | 1.0 |
| Win Shares (career) | 3.2 |
| VORP | 0.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.7 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2017 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2017 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 220 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 2" |
| Age on draft night | 20.4 |
| Born | 1997-02-04 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #34 overall (#6 PF) |
Picked around him 2017 redraft
| 32 | Davon Reed | redraft #39 |
| 33 | Wes Iwundu | redraft #28 |
| 34 | Frank Mason III | redraft #40 |
| 36 | Jonah Bolden | redraft #38 |
| 37 | Semi Ojeleye | redraft #26 |
| 38 | Jordan Bell | redraft #23 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.