Isaiah Hartenstein
PF · 2017 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #43 (HOU)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #32 overall (#8 at his position), but he lasted until pick #43: teams let him slide 11 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.1 years old on draft night (born 1998-05-05).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 431 games over 9 NBA seasons (~58% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 9 |
| Games | 431 |
| Minutes / game | 20.0 |
| Points / game | 7.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 6.7 |
| Assists / game | 2.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 33.5 |
| VORP | 9.4 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 2.3 |
| 2026-27 so far | 3 GP, 7.3 PPG (ESPN) |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2017 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2017 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 11", 225 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 19.1 |
| Born | 1998-05-05 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #32 overall (#8 PF) |
Picked around him 2017 redraft
| 40 | Dwayne Bacon | redraft #45 |
| 41 | Tyler Dorsey | redraft #44 |
| 42 | Thomas Bryant | redraft #14 |
| 44 | Damyean Dotson | redraft #32 |
| 45 | Dillon Brooks | redraft #19 |
| 46 | Sterling Brown | redraft #24 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.