George Hill

PG, IUPUI · 2008 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #26 (SAS)

Drafted#26SAS · 2008
Redraft rank#6of 60 picks
Typical redraft rank for pick #26~#252000–2021 median
VerdictSteal · +19spots vs. typical

Why he was overlooked Patterns

Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.

  • Pre-draft rankings

    ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #18 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#26). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Age

    22.1 years old on draft night (born 1986-05-04).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Path to the draft

    Played college basketball at IUPUI.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Position

    PG (ESPN draft listing).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Availability

    Played 915 games over 15 NBA seasons (~74% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.

Career numbers

Seasons15
Games915
Minutes / game26.8
Points / game10.4
Rebounds / game3.0
Assists / game3.1
Win Shares (career)71.0
VORP19.4
Box Plus/Minus1.1

The 2008 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

111515303045456060Draft pick →Redraft rank (best at top)Derrick Rose: pick 1 → redraft 10Michael Beasley: pick 2 → redraft 28O.J. Mayo: pick 3 → redraft 20Russell Westbrook: pick 4 → redraft 1Kevin Love: pick 5 → redraft 2Danilo Gallinari: pick 6 → redraft 7Eric Gordon: pick 7 → redraft 13Joe Alexander: pick 8 → redraft 42D.J. Augustin: pick 9 → redraft 12Brook Lopez: pick 10 → redraft 3Jerryd Bayless: pick 11 → redraft 27Jason Thompson: pick 12 → redraft 23Brandon Rush: pick 13 → redraft 29Anthony Randolph: pick 14 → redraft 32Robin Lopez: pick 15 → redraft 14Marreese Speights: pick 16 → redraft 22Roy Hibbert: pick 17 → redraft 18JaVale McGee: pick 18 → redraft 15J.J. Hickson: pick 19 → redraft 25Alexis Ajinça: pick 20 → redraft 31Ryan Anderson: pick 21 → redraft 11Courtney Lee: pick 22 → redraft 16Kosta Koufos: pick 23 → redraft 19Serge Ibaka: pick 24 → redraft 8Nicolas Batum: pick 25 → redraft 5Darrell Arthur: pick 27 → redraft 30Donté Greene: pick 28 → redraft 39D.J. White: pick 29 → redraft 35J.R. Giddens: pick 30 → redraft 45Nikola Peković: pick 31 → redraft 24Walter Sharpe: pick 32 → redraft 46Joey Dorsey: pick 33 → redraft 36Mario Chalmers: pick 34 → redraft 17DeAndre Jordan: pick 35 → redraft 4Ömer Aşık: pick 36 → redraft 26Luc Mbah a Moute: pick 37 → redraft 21Kyle Weaver: pick 38 → redraft 37Sonny Weems: pick 39 → redraft 49Chris Douglas-Roberts: pick 40 → redraft 33Nathan Jawai: pick 41 → redraft 43Sean Singletary: pick 42 → redraft 50Patrick Ewing: pick 43 → redraft 47Ante Tomić: pick 44 → redraft 52Goran Dragić: pick 45 → redraft 9Trent Plaisted: pick 46 → redraft 53Henry Walker: pick 47 → redraft 34Malik Hairston: pick 48 → redraft 41Richard Hendrix: pick 49 → redraft 54DeVon Hardin: pick 50 → redraft 55Shan Foster: pick 51 → redraft 56Darnell Jackson: pick 52 → redraft 40Tadija Dragićević: pick 53 → redraft 57Maarty Leunen: pick 54 → redraft 58Mike Taylor: pick 55 → redraft 48Sasha Kaun: pick 56 → redraft 44James Gist: pick 57 → redraft 59Joe Crawford: pick 58 → redraft 51Deron Washington: pick 59 → redraft 60Semih Erden: pick 60 → redraft 38

Each dot is a 2008 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Pre-draft rankings
Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank
51.8%
n=765
Age
22
51.9%
n=339
Path to the draft
US college
53.2%
n=1,015
Position
Guard
48.9%
n=499

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Height / weight6' 2", 181 lbs
Age on draft night22.1
BornIndianapolis, IN
ESPN pre-draft rank#18 overall (#4 PG)

Picked around him 2008 redraft

23Kosta Koufosredraft #19
24Serge Ibakaredraft #8
25Nicolas Batumredraft #5
27Darrell Arthurredraft #30
28Donté Greeneredraft #39
29D.J. Whiteredraft #35

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.