Ernest Brown
Indian Hills Community College · 2000 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #52 (MIA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- Age
21.1 years old on draft night (born 1979-05-17).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Indian Hills Community College.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 3 games over 1 NBA season (~4% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 3 |
| Minutes / game | 7.0 |
| Points / game | 1.0 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.0 |
| Assists / game | 0.0 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.2 |
| VORP | -0.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -18.2 |
The 2000 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2000 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Age on draft night | 21.1 |
| Born | 1979-05-17 |
Picked around him 2000 redraft
| 49 | Jason Hart | redraft #23 |
| 50 | Kaniel Dickens | redraft #44 |
| 51 | Igor Rakočević | redraft #43 |
| 53 | Dan McClintock | redraft #50 |
| 54 | Cory Hightower | redraft #55 |
| 55 | Chris Porter | redraft #41 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.