David Johnson
PG, Louisville · 2021 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #47 (TOR)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 2 games over 1 NBA season (~2% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #38 (#9 at his position), close to where he went (#47).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.3 years old on draft night (born 2001-02-26).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Louisville.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 2 |
| Minutes / game | 1.0 |
| Points / game | 0.0 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.0 |
| Assists / game | 0.0 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.0 |
| VORP | 0.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -27.7 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2021 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2021 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 210 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.3 |
| Born | 2001-02-26 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #38 overall (#9 PG) |
Picked around him 2021 redraft
| 44 | Kessler Edwards | redraft #36 |
| 45 | Juhann Begarin | redraft #58 |
| 46 | Dalano Banton | redraft #34 |
| 48 | Sharife Cooper | redraft #43 |
| 49 | Marcus Zegarowski | redraft #59 |
| 50 | Filip Petrušev | redraft #49 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.