Christian Drejer
SF, Florida · 2004 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #51 (NJN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Never played an NBA game.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #35 overall (#6 at his position), but he lasted until pick #51: teams let him slide 16 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.5 years old on draft night (born 1982-12-08).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Florida.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 0 |
| Games | 0 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 230 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.5 |
| Born | 1982-12-08 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #35 overall (#6 SF) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 48 | Ricky Minard | redraft #51 |
| 49 | Sergei Lishouk | redraft #52 |
| 50 | Vassilis Spanoulis | redraft #37 |
| 52 | Romain Sato | redraft #54 |
| 53 | Matt Freije | redraft #43 |
| 54 | Rickey Paulding | redraft #55 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.