Amari Williams
C, Kentucky · 2025 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #46 (ORL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
The 2025 class is only 1 season in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #57 (#14 at his position); he went #46, 11 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23.4 years old on draft night (born 2002-01-28).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Kentucky.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 22 games over 1 NBA season (~27% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 22 |
| Minutes / game | 6.6 |
| Points / game | 1.4 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.8 |
| Assists / game | 0.5 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.2 |
| VORP | 0.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.1 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2025 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2025 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 262 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 23.4 |
| Born | 2002-01-28 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #57 overall (#14 C) |
Picked around him 2025 redraft
| 43 | Jamir Watkins | redraft #24 |
| 44 | Brooks Barnhizer | redraft #30 |
| 45 | Rocco Zikarsky | redraft #41 |
| 47 | Bogoljub Markovic | redraft #57 |
| 48 | Javon Small | redraft #11 |
| 49 | Tyrese Proctor | redraft #27 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.