Alen Smailagić

C · 2019 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #39 (NOP)

Drafted#39NOP · 2019
Redraft rank (live)#46of 60 picks
Typical redraft rank for pick #39~#372000–2021 median
VerdictBelow his slot · -9spots vs. typical

Why he went too high Patterns

Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.

  • Pre-draft rankings

    ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #64 (#10 at his position); he went #39, 25 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Availability

    Played 29 games over 2 NBA seasons (~18% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

  • Age

    18.9 years old on draft night (born 2000-08-18).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Position

    C (ESPN draft listing).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.

Career numberslive

Seasons2
Games29
Minutes / game7.7
Points / game3.0
Rebounds / game1.5
Assists / game0.6
Win Shares (career)0.3
VORP-0.1
Box Plus/Minus-3.3

Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.

The 2019 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

111515303045456060Draft pick →Redraft rank (best at top)Zion Williamson: pick 1 → redraft 1Ja Morant: pick 2 → redraft 3RJ Barrett: pick 3 → redraft 17De'Andre Hunter: pick 4 → redraft 22Darius Garland: pick 5 → redraft 6Jarrett Culver: pick 6 → redraft 54Coby White: pick 7 → redraft 15Jaxson Hayes: pick 8 → redraft 9Rui Hachimura: pick 9 → redraft 20Cam Reddish: pick 10 → redraft 34Cameron Johnson: pick 11 → redraft 5P.J. Washington: pick 12 → redraft 16Tyler Herro: pick 13 → redraft 7Romeo Langford: pick 14 → redraft 37Sekou Doumbouya: pick 15 → redraft 58Chuma Okeke: pick 16 → redraft 26Nickeil Alexander-Walker: pick 17 → redraft 14Goga Bitadze: pick 18 → redraft 12Luka Šamanić: pick 19 → redraft 51Matisse Thybulle: pick 20 → redraft 11Brandon Clarke: pick 21 → redraft 8Grant Williams: pick 22 → redraft 19Darius Bazley: pick 23 → redraft 35Ty Jerome: pick 24 → redraft 18Nassir Little: pick 25 → redraft 30Dylan Windler: pick 26 → redraft 36Mfiondu Kabengele: pick 27 → redraft 43Jordan Poole: pick 28 → redraft 23Keldon Johnson: pick 29 → redraft 10Kevin Porter Jr.: pick 30 → redraft 21Nic Claxton: pick 31 → redraft 4KZ Okpala: pick 32 → redraft 39Carsen Edwards: pick 33 → redraft 44Bruno Fernando: pick 34 → redraft 33Didi Louzada: pick 35 → redraft 56Cody Martin: pick 36 → redraft 24Deividas Sirvydis: pick 37 → redraft 55Daniel Gafford: pick 38 → redraft 2Justin James: pick 40 → redraft 45Eric Paschall: pick 41 → redraft 29Admiral Schofield: pick 42 → redraft 38Jaylen Nowell: pick 43 → redraft 31Bol Bol: pick 44 → redraft 25Isaiah Roby: pick 45 → redraft 32Talen Horton-Tucker: pick 46 → redraft 27Ignas Brazdeikis: pick 47 → redraft 42Terance Mann: pick 48 → redraft 13Quinndary Weatherspoon: pick 49 → redraft 47Jarrell Brantley: pick 50 → redraft 41Tremont Waters: pick 51 → redraft 49Jalen McDaniels: pick 52 → redraft 28Justin Wright-Foreman: pick 53 → redraft 53Marial Shayok: pick 54 → redraft 57Kyle Guy: pick 55 → redraft 48Jaylen Hands: pick 56 → redraft 59Jordan Bone: pick 57 → redraft 50Miye Oni: pick 58 → redraft 40Dewan Hernandez: pick 59 → redraft 52Vanja Marinković: pick 60 → redraft 60

Each dot is a 2019 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Pre-draft rankings
Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank		33.8%
n=272
Age
Under 20		51.7%
n=300
Position
Center		51.1%
n=182

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Height / weight6' 10", 215 lbs
Age on draft night18.9
Born2000-08-18
ESPN pre-draft rank#64 overall (#10 C)

Picked around him 2019 redraft

36Cody Martinredraft #24
37Deividas Sirvydisredraft #55
38Daniel Gaffordredraft #2
40Justin Jamesredraft #45
41Eric Paschallredraft #29
42Admiral Schofieldredraft #38

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.