Alec Burks
SG, Colorado · 2011 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #12 (UTA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #12 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#12).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.9 years old on draft night (born 1991-07-20).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Colorado.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 10" at 6' 6" tall (+4.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 791 games over 14 NBA seasons (~69% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 14 |
| Games | 791 |
| Minutes / game | 22.2 |
| Points / game | 10.6 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.3 |
| Assists / game | 1.9 |
| Win Shares (career) | 31.7 |
| VORP | 6.6 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.5 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 193 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 10" |
| Age on draft night | 19.9 |
| Born | Grandview, MO |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #12 overall (#2 SG) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 9 | Kemba Walker | redraft #7 |
| 10 | Jimmer Fredette | redraft #38 |
| 11 | Klay Thompson | redraft #8 |
| 13 | Markieff Morris | redraft #21 |
| 14 | Marcus Morris | redraft #12 |
| 15 | Kawhi Leonard | redraft #2 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.